are currently developing an experimental version of a semi-automated
system to predict the intensity of geomagnetic storms.
Here is a list of the events that we analyzed
Our approach allows us to estimate the strength of southward Bz in IMF and to predict the magnitude of the Dst index. The method was first presented in October 2002 at the 34th COSPAR ASSEMBLY in HOUSTON, USA (Adv. Space Res., 32, #10, 1817).
More details can be found in
Yurchyshyn, V., Wang, H., & Abramenko, V. 2004, Correlation Between Speeds of CMEs and the Intensity of Geomagnetic Storms, Space Weather, 2, S02001, doi:10.1029/2003SW000020
Yurchyshyn, V., Hu, Q., & Abramenko, V. 2005, Structure of magnetic fields in NOAA active regions 0486 and 0501 and in the associated interplanetary ejecta, Space Weather, 3, #8, S08C02, 10.1029/2004SW000124
We thank the ACE MAG instrument team and the ACE Science Center for providing the ACE data. We acknowledge the use of geomagnetic data from the World Data Center for Geomagnetism in Kyoto. The CME catalog is generated, and maintained, by the Center for Solar Physics and Space Weather, The Catholic University of America in cooperation with the Naval Research Laboratory and NASA. SOHO is a project of international cooperation between ESA and NASA. This work was supported, in part, by NSF grants ATM-9903515, ATM-0205157, ATM-0076602 and NASA(NAG5-9682) grants.
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.