| Solar Activity Warnings 2001 |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 15-DEC-2001 19:56:56 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9727, S21W87. Region has changed very little since yesterday,
maybe even a slight decay. Region is to close too the west limb to ascertain
its magnetic changes. C-class and M-class events with a slight chance
for a X-class event. NOAA 9733, N14W20. Region has mostly remained unchanged
in magnetic complexity. Expect C-class and M-class events with a chance for
another X-class event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 14-DEC-2001 18:44:34 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9727, (S21W77, Solar X = 887", Solar Y = -346" at 12/14/18:00 UT)
is mostly unchanged maintaining its complex beta-gamma-delta
magnetic configuration. C- and M-class events expected with the chance
of an isolated X-class event. NOAA 9733, (N14W07, Solar X = 473",
Solar Y = 251" at 12/14/18:00 UT) has changed somewhat (decay in some portions
and growth in other areas) since the X6 event. C- and M-class events expected
with the chance of another X-class event.
WM, BBSO/NJIT and PG, Emergent IT/NASA GSFC |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 13-DEC-2001 18:44:33 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9733, N14E08 (Solar X = -132",Solar Y = 249" at 12/13/17:00 UT),
produced an X6.2 event at 12/13/14:30 UT. The region appears to have
experienced slight decay in magnetic complexity in the hours following
the flare, but is still capable of producing M-class events with the
chance of producing another X-class event. NOAA 9727, S21W62
(Solar X = 805", Solar Y = -344" at 12/13/17:00 UT), has continued to slowly
add sunspot area, sunspot count, and magnetic complexity. M-class events
are certain with the possibility of an X-class event as well.
See www.bbso.njit.edu/arm/latest for further details and
www.bbso.njit/cgi-bin/LatestImages for additional images.
WM, BBSO/NJIT and PG, Emergent IT/NASA GSFC |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 12-DEC-2001 18:55:27 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9727, S21W48, Solar X = 678", Solar Y = -343" (12/12/18:00 UT) continues
in growth phase with additional new flux located NW of the large penumbra.
C- and M-class events expected with the chance of an X-class event.
NOAA 9733, N14E21, Solar X = -340", Solar Y = 246" (12/12/18:00 UT) also
continues in growth phase with new flux emerging in the NE portion of the
region. C- and M-class events expected with the chance of an X-class event.
Both regions have complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic configurations.
WM, BBSO/NJIT and PG, Emergent IT/NASA GSFC |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 10-DEC-2001 18:47:24 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9727, S20W21 (Solar X = 329", Solar Y = -329") at 12/10/18:00 UT,
has continued to develop with significant opposite polarity flux emergence
adjacent to its large leader sunspot. Magnetic classification is
beta-gamma-delta. C- and M-class events are certain with the chance of an
X-class event as well. See www.bbso.njit.edu/arm/latest for further
details and www.bbso.njit.edu/cgi-bin/LatestImages for additional images.
WM, BBSO/NJIT and PG, Emergent IT/NASA GSFC |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 12-NOV-2001 16:57:21 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9690, S18W18. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region has produced
eight C-class and an M1.3 flare over the last 24 hours. The region
has continued to decrease in sunspot area but not in magnetic
complexity. Still strong delta configuration in trailing sunspots.
C-class and M-class events with a chance for an isolated X-clsss.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 11-NOV-2001 19:17:58 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9690, S18W06. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region is mostly
unchanged from yesterday. Still maintains E-W magnetic inversion
line and delta configuration in the trailing sunspots. C-class
and M-class events with a chance for a X-class event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 10-NOV-2001 18:51:56 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9690, S18E05. Region has decayed in sunspot area and is less
magnetically complex in the leading sunspots, but continues to
maintain the sharp E-W magnetic inversion line and delta
configuration in the eastern-most trailing sunspot. There is also
a small delta in the intermediate sunspots. C-class and M-class
events with a chance for a X-class event.
RF/WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 09-NOV-2001 17:28:40 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9690, S18E22, continues to maintain a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration and an E-W magnetic inversion line with steep magnetic
gradients and bright plage overlaying the opposite polarity umbrae of
the delta. C- and M-class events are certain with a good chance of a major
X-class event as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 08-NOV-2001 18:54:01 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9690, S17E34, continues to possess the potential to produce a major
flare. The region has increased its sunspot count, sunspot area, and
magnetic complexity since yesterday. The leading portion of the region
maintains an E-W magnetic inversion line with steep magnetic gradiants.
C- and M-class events certain with a good chance of an X-class event as well.
NOAA 9687, S20W13, produced an M9 event today at 07:04 UT...another M-level
event is possible.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 07-NOV-2001 18:45:39 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9690, S18E47, is a large beta-gamma-delta sunspot group with an E-W
magnetic inversion line and bright H-alpha plage. C- and M-class events certain
with the potential for a major flare as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 06-NOV-2001 23:28:26 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9687, S20E08. New positive polarity flux located within the leading
portion has resulted in increased magnetic complexity...C- and M-class events
expected with the chance of a major flare as well if development continues.
NOAA 9690, S18E59. Beta-gamma with a probable delta configuration (9690 is too
close to the SE limb to ascertain its true magnetic configuration). E-W
magnetic inversion line with overlaying bright H-alpha plage between the
possible delta umbrae...C- and M-class events expected with the chance of
a major flare as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 01-NOV-2001 19:29:46 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9682 (N12W17) is mostly unchanged again today and continues to be
capable of producing a major flare. The region rotating over the SE limb
(S20E77) is too close to the limb to ascertain its magnetic configuration,
but it appears to be magnetically complex and capable of producing a
major flare. At 11/01/16:49 UT, the region was displaying a nice system
of post flare loops (see www.bbso.njit.edu/cgi-bin/LatestImages and
www.bbso.njit.edu/arm/20011101 for further information).
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 31-OCT-2001 17:40:02 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9682, N12E01 (10/31/05:00 UT), is mostly unchanged with a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. A major flare is probable.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 30-OCT-2001 17:25:42 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9682, N12E08, has continued to increase in sunspot area, sunspot count, and
magnetic complexity within its northern portion. C- and M-class events certain
with the possibility of a major flare as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 29-OCT-2001 18:03:21 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9682, N12E22. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region has added
sunspot area and sunspot count since yesterday and displays
umbrae rotation within the main penumbra creating an increase
in magnetic complexity. Region produced two M-class events
yesterday. C-class and M-class events with chance for a
X-class event.
NOAA 9672, S18W77. Appears to be decaying, but there is still a slight chance for another major flare before going over west limb. RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 28-OCT-2001 18:02:17 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9682, N12E36. Beta-gamma region. New flux has continued to
emerge within the northern portion of the large sunspot which
has increased the magnetic complexity. Region appears bright
in H-alpha. Region produced two M-class events today. Expect
M-class and a chance for a X-class event.
NOAA 9672, S18W62. Beta-gamma-delta. Region remains unchanged and is still capable of producing a major flare before west limb passage. RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 27-OCT-2001 17:44:38 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9672, S18W51. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region has changed very
little in magnetic complexity from yesterday. Maybe a slight decrease
in sunspot area. Region still has the potential to produce another
X-class event before going over the west limb.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 26-OCT-2001 21:52:35 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9672 (S18W38) shows little change from yesterday. This region
produced an X1.3 flare at 1502 UT yesterday. The region still shows
potential for additional major flares. M-class or perhaps X-class
activity still possible. Also, NOAA 9678 (N08E09) is still likely
to produce M-class events. Sorry about the error with the earlier
warning today.
JV |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 26-OCT-2001 19:27:49 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9672 (S18W38) shows little change from yesterday. This region
produced an X1.3 flare at 1502 UT yesterday. The region still shows
potential for additional major flares. M-class or perhaps X-class
activity still possible. Also, NOAA 9678 (N08E09) is still likely
to produce M-class events.
JV |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 24-OCT-2001 17:16:46 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9672, S18W08. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region has continued
to develope with new flux emerging. The region maintains strong
gradients across the inversion line, which has become more extended.
Well defined filament system wraped around the region.
Region produced four C-class and two M-class events yesterday and
one C-class today. Expect C-class and M-class events with a chance
for a X-class event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 23-OCT-2001 16:48:14 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9672, S18E04. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region produced another
M6.5 event at 0223UT today. Region continues to develope in size
and magnetic complexity. The delta configuration has grown stronger
with new flux emerging. A set of filaments have formed that wrap
around the region and extend outwards. Expect M-class events and
a chance for another X-class event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 22-OCT-2001 18:02:07 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9672, S19E16. Beta-gamma-delta region. Region has formed
a strong delta configuration along the leading edge of the
large sunspot. Region produced a M6.7 x-ray event at 1508UT
today and is producing a X1.2 at this time 18:10UT.
Expect M-class events and a chance for another X-class event
if region continues to develope.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 19-OCT-2001 17:02:47 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9661 (N16W32 - 10/19/01/16:00 UT) produced two major flares today....
X1.6 at 10/19/01:05UT and another X1.6 at 10/19/16:30 UT....another major flare
is possible within the next two days.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 18-OCT-2001 16:59:29 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9661 (N16W17) continues to be a large, magnetically complex region.
The magnetic field gradient within the large delta configuration remains
high. The region remains capable of producing a major flare.
JV |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 17-OCT-2001 20:02:40 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9661 (N16W07) has been slowly developing additional magnetic complexity
within the large delta configuration. The potential for 9661 producing a
major flare has increased.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 29-SEP-2001 19:52:26 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9628, S18W59. A new bi-polar flux configuration, first seen
yesterday, emerged within the leading northern portion of the
region. Other portions of the region are decaying. Expected to
continue to produce C and M-class events and an isolated X-class
event possible.
NOAA 9632, S19W44. A small delta configuration developed south of the large penumbra, but the large delta is starting to decay with the large penumbra splitting apart. C and M-class events and an isolated X-class event possible. RF/WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 28-SEP-2001 19:18:01 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9628, S18W48. Large complex beta-gamma region which has had further flux emergence in its central and leader portions. The region produced an M2.4 at 10:14 UT today, and is expected to continue to produce C-, M- and possibly X-class activity. NOAA 9632, S19W32. Compact delta region which has maintained a strong delta configuration overnight. The region has been relatively quiet for the past few days, but has the capacity to produce C- and M-class events, with a chance of an isolated X-class flare. See http://www.bbso.njit.edu/arm for further details. Peter Gallagher |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 27-SEP-2001 18:23:04 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9628, S18W36. Large complex beta-gamma-delta region which has again shown several flux emergences in its core, together with a long duration M-class flare at 12:13 UT today. The region is expected to continue to produce C- and M-class activity, with a chance for an isolated X-class event. NOAA 9632, S19W19. Compact delta region which has had further flux emergence in the NW, close to a large curved filament which almost encircles the leader spot. The region has been relatively quiet since producing at X-class flare on Monday, but is likely to produce C-, M- and possibly another X-class event. See http://www.bbso.njit.edu/arm for further details. Peter Gallagher |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 26-SEP-2001 19:10:55 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9628, S18W25. Large complex beta-gamma-delta region which has again shown several significant flux emergences in its core, together with three M-class events yesterday. The region is expected to continue to produce further C- and M-class activity, with a chance for an isolated X-class event. NOAA 9632, S19W05. Compact delta region which has had further flux emergence in the NW, close to a large curved filament which almost encircles the leader spot. The region has been relatively quiet since producing at X-class flare on Monday, but is likely to produce C-, M- and possibly another X-class event. Peter Gallagher |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 24-SEP-2001 17:48:53 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9632, S18E22. The region is a compact beta-gamma-delta
group. The region produced an X2.6 at 10:38UT together with
a CME and associated >10MeV proton event. The current
configuration suggests further M class and X-class events.
RF/WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 09-SEP-2001 21:15:06 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9608, S26E21. Region has continued to develope with new
opposite flux emerging near the southwest edge of the large
trailing sunspot creating at least two delta configurations.
Region just produced a M9.4 at 2045UT where the new flux is
emerging. C-class and M-class events certain with an X-class
event expected.
RF/WHM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 28-AUG-2001 22:09:21 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9591, S18W06. Beta-gamma-delta region. No new significant flux
emergence today. The large delta configuration located in the trailing area
of the region remains, but somewhat decayed....bright H-alpha along the
magnetic inversion line is no longer evident. It is possible that this region
will regenerate. C-class and M-class events expected and if significant flux
emergence occurs, there is a chance of another major flare.
NOAA 9600/9601, N16E69/N10E73. Bright H-alpha plage....too close to the NE limb to ascertain its magnetic configuration, but appears to have mixed polarities...C- and M-class events probable with a slight chance of a major flare. WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 27-AUG-2001 17:01:51 UT |
|---|
|
New flux is emerging within the intermediate portion of NOAA 9591.
The large delta configuration located in the trailing area of the region
remains strong with bright H-alpha along the magnetic inversion line.
C- and M-class events certain with a chance of another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 26-AUG-2001 17:16:38 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9591, S19E22. Large beta-gamma-delta region which produced a
X5.3 yesterday. Region has decreased slightly in magnetic complexity
due to the decay of the intermediate delta configuration. The large
sunspot with the delta configuration in the trailing area is still
present. Expect C-class and M-class events with a chance for another
X-class event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 25-AUG-2001 17:27:54 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9591, S18E32. Large beta-gamma-delta region with very extended
plage. Region has continued to develope with continued flux emerging.
The intermediate sunspot and the large trailing sunspot have increased
in size and complexity. A delta configuration exists in both the
large trailing sunspot and the intermediate sunspot. Region has
produced numerous C-class events and a couple of M-class events.
This morning (August 25) the region produced a X-5.3 event at 16:45 UT.
Expect C-class and M-class with a chance for another X-class.
RF,WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 29-APR-2001 17:11:48 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17W59. Region continues to show a delta configuration and
has grown slightly in the umbra but the magnetic complexity has not
changed from yesterday. Leading and trailing sunspots continue in decay
phase. Region has only produced C-class events in last 24 hours.
Expect C-class and M-class events and still a chance for a X-class
event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 28-APR-2001 17:26:03 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17W46. Continues to display a strong delta configuration
in the trailing large sunspot. The delta configuration has grown
slightly stronger since yesterday with more umbra present. Leader and
intermediate sunspots continue in decay phase. Expect C-class and M-class
to continue with a good chance for an X-class event.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 27-APR-2001 16:28:24 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17W33. Continues to display a strong delta sunspot in the
trailing portion. Leader and intermediate sunspots showing decay.
Expect C-class and M-class events to continue with a good chance
for an X-class event.
RF/WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 26-APR-2001 15:44:52 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17W20, Solar_X = 313", Solar_Y = 348" on April 26 at 16:30 UT,
produced an M-8 X-ray event today at 13:12 UT (centered on the trailing
delta sunspot). The region might have -slightly- decayed since yesterday,
but remains a large and bright plage with a beta-gamma-delta sunspot
group with a long history of being active (AR9393/9433). C- and M-class
events certain with a good chance of an X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 25-APR-2001 16:01:59 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17W08, Solar_X = 127", Solar_Y = 353" on April 25 at 16:30 UT,
is maintaining a complex beta-gamma magnetic configuration with several
small delta configurations. The trailing portion of the region displays the
most potential for the strongest events. C- and M-class events certain with
a good chance of an X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 24-APR-2001 16:41:32 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17E06, Solar_X = -095", Solar_Y = 353" on April 24 at 16:30 UT,
continues to add sunspot area and sunspot count. The region continues to
maintain a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration and bright H-alpha plage.
AR9433 will continue to produce C- and M-class events with a good chance
of producing an X-class event as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 23-APR-2001 17:34:09 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N17E18, Solar_X = -283", Solar_Y = 353" at 16:30 UT on April 23
continues to slowly increase sunspot area, sunspot count, and magnetic
complexity. C- and M-class events expected with a chance of an X-class
event as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 22-APR-2001 17:32:58 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9433, N18E33, (Solar_X=-496", Solar_Y=360"). New flux has
been slowly emerging in front of the large sunspot at the
easternmost portion of the region forming a small delta
configuration. The very large leader sunspot is decaying and
has split into two separate sunspots. C-class and M-class events
are expected with an increasing chance for an X-class event.
RF/WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 15-APR-2001 17:00:58 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S21W82, Solar_X=884", Solar_Y=-329" at 4/15/16:30 UT,
produced a major flare today (X14.4/2b at 13:50UT. Post flare
loops are visible on the SW limb at this time. Expect M-class and
X-class to continue as region goes over the west limb.
RF |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 13-APR-2001 16:53:20 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S21W56, Solar_X = 742", Solar_Y = -292" at 4/13/16:30 UT,
continues in decay phase, but is still capable of producing another
M- and/or low-level X-class event before west limb passage. The delta
magnetic configuration is still present within the leading sunspot.
The positive polarity umbra (within the delta) has been slowly rotating
counterclockwise and is now located almost due north of the negative
polarity umbra.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 12-APR-2001 15:59:50 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S22W43, Solar_X = 607", Solar_Y = -292" at 4/12/16:30 UT
continues active. The region produced another X-class flare today
(X2 at 4/12/10:28 UT). The sunspot group is slowly decaying, but maintains
the reversed polarity delta configuration within the leader sunspot.
M-class event expected with the chance of another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 11-APR-2001 16:39:09 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S22W30, Solar_X = 446", Solar_Y = -279", is now in decay
phase, but the region is still capable of producing M-class events
and maybe another X-class event before west limb passage.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 10-APR-2001 19:40:34 UT |
|---|
|
Sorry, the computer ate the first line of my last message.
The full message follows.
Correction: the M7.9 flare was at 15:34 on 4/9 and the X2.9 flare was
at 05:26 on 4/10.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 10-APR-2001 19:25:55 UT |
|---|
|
Correction: the M7.9 flare was at 15:34 on 4/9 and the X2.9 flare was
at 05:26 on 4/10.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 10-APR-2001 16:56:13 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S22W17, produced another major flare today (3b/X2.3 at 15:34 UT).
The strong reversed polarity delta configuration is still present in
the leading sunspot. M-class expected, another X-class possible.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 09-APR-2001 17:06:26 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S21W02 (Solar_X = 031", Solar_Y = -248") produced a major flare
(M-8 X-ray event) today at 15:34 UT. AR9415 continues to display a
strong, reversed polarity delta magnetic configuration. M-class event expected,
X-class event possible.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 08-APR-2001 16:41:56 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S22E11, Solar_X = -170", Solar_Y = -265" at 4/8/16:30 UT,
remains magnetically complex with the leader sunspot displaying
a reversed polarity delta configuration. Expect M-class events with
the chance of another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 07-APR-2001 17:04:57 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S22E25, Solar_X = -377", Solar_Y = -271" at 4/7/16:30 UT, remains
magnetically complex (beta-gamma with a strong delta configuration).
AR9415 produced an X5 X-ray event yesterday at 19:21 UT.
M-class events expected with the chance of another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 06-APR-2001 17:09:28 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9415, S22E38 (April 6 at 16:30 UT) continues to be a magnetically complex
beta-gamma region with a strong delta configuration located in the leader
sunspot. M-class events expected with the chance of another X-class event
as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 05-APR-2001 18:20:52 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, beyond the NW limb at N17, produced another flare today
(M8.4 at April 5/09:20 UT). Although beyond the limb, activity from
a strong flare will be visible in the form of post flare loops.
NOAA 9415, S21E52 (Solar_X = -707", Solar_Y = -282" at 4/5/16:30 UT) has slightly decayed since it rotated over the SE limb, but maintains a complex reversed polarity magnetic configuration. M-class events expected with the chance of another X-class event. WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 04-APR-2001 18:55:08 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, West Limb @N17 is still capable of producing major activity.
NOAA 9415, S22E63, is a reversed polarity, magnetically complex region
with the potential to produce another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 03-APR-2001 18:08:25 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, N16W78 (Solar_X = 903", Solar_Y = 284") on April 3rd at 16:30 UT
is still capable of producing M- and another X-class flare before it rotates
over the NW limb.
NOAA 9415, S20E77 produced an X1 event today at 03:57 UT. The leader sunspot
is reversed polarity (+ leading) and has a possible delta configuration
(too close to the SE limb to completely ascertain magnetic configuration).
M-class event expected with the chance of another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 02-APR-2001 22:23:08 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, N17W67, produced a major flare (X17 at 21:51 UT April 2nd).
The flare site was in the central portion of the region where the
strongest delta configuration is located.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 02-APR-2001 19:55:11 UT |
|---|
|
Portions of NOAA 9393 (N17W65/Solar_X=833",Solar_Y=324" on April 2 @16:30 UT)
are very slowly decaying, but the region remains magnetically complex with
the potential to produce another major flare before west limb passage. AR9393
produced an X1.4 event at 10:14 UT today. The longer duration X1.1 event
at 11:36 UT was produced by the new region rotating over the SE limb at
about S20. We see a very large leader sunspot at this time.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 01-APR-2001 18:54:34 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393 is showing signs of decay, especially within the SW portion
of the region, but we still expect another major flare before west limb
passage. AR9393 continues to be magnetically complex with a beta-gamma-delta
magnetic classification.
There might be another good flare producing region beyond the east limb.
The long duration M5 X-ray event today (April 1 at 12:17 UT) was correlated
with a system of bright post-flare, loop-type prominences on the east limb.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 31-MAR-2001 18:59:58 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393 remains a worthly candidate with the potential to
produce another major flare before west limb passage. The
effects from the flare activity from AR9393 on the 29th of March
produced a nice Aurora seen here lasr night at 10:00 pm local
Big Bear time. Auroras are rare in Southern California!
The position of AR9393 on March 31st at 16:30 UT:
N17W39 (Solar_X = 580", Solar_Y = 362")
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 30-MAR-2001 19:33:44 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, N17W25 (Solar_X = 390", Solar_Y = 350") on March 30th
at 16:30 UT, retains a complex magnetic configuration and bright
H-alpha plage. C- and M-class events are certain with the possibility
of another X-class event before west limb passage.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 29-MAR-2001 19:47:53 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, N17W15 (Solar_X = 226", Solar_Y = 335" at 16:30 UT on March 29th)
produced several M-class flares yesterday and today and the X1.7 event
today at 10:15 UT. AR9393 remains in growth phase and continues
to have the potential to produce M-class events and another X-class event.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 28-MAR-2001 17:20:33 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393, N17W01 on March 28/16:30 UT (Solar_X = 016", Solar_Y = 389")
continues to be a worthly candidate for M-class events with the possibility
of producing an X-class event as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 27-MAR-2001 17:27:55 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393 located at N18E12 (Solar_X = -191, Solar_Y = 402) on March
27/16:30 UT continues in strong growth phase. This large plage complex
includes NOAA 9401 (located just east - N22E34 - and contiguous with AR9393).
We expect a high-level M-class event with a good chance of an X-class
event as well.
WM |
| BBSO Solar Activity Warning 26-MAR-2001 17:19:48 UT |
|---|
|
NOAA 9393 located at N19E25 (Solar_X = -386", Solar_Y = 410") on
March 26/16:30 UT has developed significantly
since yesterday. AR9393 displays a large delta configuration with new flux
emerging just SW of the original sunspot. The new flux has formed an
additional delta configuration. AR9393 has produced several C- and low-level
M-class events. We expect C- and M-class activity to continue with an
increasing chance for an X-class event.
WM & JV |